Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001788 0.001909 0.002036 0.002176 0.002329 0.002489 0.002672
2024-12-29 0.001588 0.001755 0.001936 0.002147 0.002387 0.002650 0.002964
2025-01-05 0.001453 0.001649 0.001867 0.002130 0.002438 0.002791 0.003228
2025-01-12 0.001336 0.001547 0.001790 0.002089 0.002450 0.002877 0.003422
2025-01-19 0.001252 0.001477 0.001739 0.002071 0.002482 0.002981 0.003636
2025-01-26 0.001149 0.001375 0.001643 0.001989 0.002427 0.002970 0.003701
2025-02-02 0.001125 0.001366 0.001659 0.002043 0.002541 0.003172 0.004045
2025-02-09 0.001095 0.001348 0.001660 0.002078 0.002630 0.003345 0.004359
2025-02-16 0.001092 0.001363 0.001702 0.002166 0.002790 0.003618 0.004822
2025-02-23 0.001053 0.001329 0.001680 0.002165 0.002832 0.003732 0.005070
2025-03-02 0.000992 0.001263 0.001612 0.002101 0.002781 0.003715 0.005128
2025-03-09 0.000947 0.001217 0.001568 0.002066 0.002770 0.003751 0.005263
2025-03-16 0.000910 0.001183 0.001543 0.002063 0.002810 0.003873 0.005551
2025-03-23 0.000869 0.001142 0.001506 0.002041 0.002823 0.003958 0.005790
2025-03-30 0.000833 0.001106 0.001476 0.002026 0.002844 0.004055 0.006054
2025-04-06 0.000793 0.001062 0.001431 0.001987 0.002828 0.004093 0.006225
2025-04-13 0.000762 0.001031 0.001403 0.001971 0.002843 0.004179 0.006478
2025-04-20 0.000715 0.000974 0.001336 0.001894 0.002761 0.004107 0.006462
2025-04-27 0.000709 0.000976 0.001353 0.001944 0.002879 0.004359 0.007015
2025-05-04 0.000699 0.000970 0.001360 0.001977 0.002970 0.004573 0.007516
2025-05-11 0.000702 0.000985 0.001397 0.002060 0.003145 0.004936 0.008313
2025-05-18 0.000684 0.000967 0.001382 0.002060 0.003184 0.005070 0.008700
2025-05-25 0.000650 0.000925 0.001331 0.001999 0.003119 0.005020 0.008735